Serenity (@aleabitoreddit) — stock opinions

Backtest performance

Conviction-weighted · YTD

Simulated cumulative return with the stocks the influencer discussed

This is a simulation built from public influencer content. It is not the influencer’s actual portfolio, holdings, account return or trading record, and it does not try to reconstruct one. Every influencer is scored under the same rules from their standardised positive and negative stock views.

Conviction-weighted uses positive views only. The more often an influencer calls the same stock, the more conviction it shows and the larger its simulated weight.

Signals enter on the next U.S. trading day after publication and typically expire after about three months. The aim is an open, like-for-like comparison of public views — closer to “a viewer following the public content” than to what the influencer personally earned.

Historical tickers

Biggest winners and losers

Conviction-weighted · year to date

Each call is a simulated lot from our backtest, from its entry to its exit (an opposite view or the end of its horizon); still-open lots use the latest close. Lots that closed in the selected period or are still open count. Overlapping calls on the same stock merge into one active window; the total compounds the stock’s price return across its windows.

Share of completed simulated positions on this stock that ended with a positive return under the selected rules.

Simulated trades are not available yet.

Portfolio

Current holdings

Conviction-weighted

Holdings are the still-open lots of our backtest of the influencer’s public opinions: each enters on the next U.S. trading session after publication and is held for its horizon (about two weeks short-term, three months medium-term, one year long-term) unless an opposite view closes it. Every open lot has equal weight, rebalanced each session.

Conviction-weighted uses positive views only; every additional mention of a stock adds another equal slice, so repeated calls weigh more.

Simulated holdings are not available yet.

Opinion overview

2026-10-06 – 2026-10-12

Positive (4)

Negative (0)

No negative opinions in this period.

Opinion list

Horizon

AAOI2026-10-10
Might still be early if people think there’s “no moat” in lasers and that AOI makes no money; wait and see Q2 2027.
Source
AAOI5802.TLITE2026-10-09
From our perspective, "Completely Sold Out, there's no end in sight". With hyperscaler demand visibility into 2030, 2031, the implications are enormous for laser suppliers adding capacity like Sumitomo Electric and $AAOI.
Source
AAOIMU2026-10-08
Somehow ends a 3-5 year laser shortage with $AAOI or memory shortage with $MU? Hint: it doesn’t.
Source